With only two weeks of Big Ten football left, five different teams still have a chance to win at least a piece of the Big Ten championship. Here's what needs to happen for each team to win a share of the conference title, to lock up the automatic BCS berth, and to win the conference title outright. (I'm pretty sure this is right-- I went off the Big Ten tie-breaker rules from a 2004 media guide, but I don't believe they changed this off-season. If I goofed something up, let me know and I'll look into it.)
Penn StateWin a share of the conference title and BCS berth
1) Win at Michigan State.
Win the conference outright
1) Win at Michigan State.
2) OSU loses vs. Northwestern or at Michigan
Ohio StateWin a share of the title
1) Win vs. Northwestern and at Michigan.
Win the conference outright and the BCS berth
1) Win vs. Northwestern and at Michigan.
2) Penn State loses at Michigan State.
NorthwesternWin a share of the title
1) Win at Ohio State and vs. Illinois.
2) Penn State loses at Michigan State
Can not win the conference outright or earn the BCS berth.
MichiganWin a share of the title
1) Win vs. Indiana and vs. Ohio State.
2) Penn State loses at Michigan State.
Can not win the conference outright
Win the BCS berth
1) Win vs. Indiana and vs. Ohio State.
2) Penn State loses at Michigan State.
3) Wisconsin loses vs. Iowa.
--If OSU beats Northwestern, this would leave OSU, PSU and UM all at 6-2. PSU and UM would both have beaten OSU, eliminating them from the tie-breaker. Then it goes to head-to-head, which goes to Michigan.
--If Northwestern beats OSU, this would leave NU, PSU and UM all at 6-2. PSU and UM both beat NU, eliminating them from the tie-breaker. Then it goes to head-to-head, which goes to Michigan.
WisconsinWin a share of the title
1) Win vs. Iowa.
2) Ohio State loses vs. Northwestern or at Michigan.
3) Penn State loses at Michigan State.
Can not win the conference outright or earn the BCS berth.
Note: Iowa, Michigan State, Illinois, Indiana, Minnesota and Purdue have been eliminated from the conference race.